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Watching the GOP Get Ground to Dust by Demographics February 22, 2013

Posted by geoff in News.
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How screwed are we? Oh mightily, I’d say, based upon this handy little tool from Chris Wilson of Yahoo News. He’s taken the demographic projections for the next 50 years and projected how voting will go based on voter turnout and party preference for each racial group. As you can see, things look pretty bleak for our heroes.

You can use the slider bars to change the assumptions of turnout and party preference, but I don’t think you can come up with a realistic scenario that looks hopeful.

Prove me wrong? *Sob*

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Comments»

1. Robert - February 23, 2013

Ok, I’ll take a shot. I think once blacks figure out the democrat party is replacing them with Hispanics, they might bolt. Further, I expect the abortion rate to rise in the Hispanic demo.

2. Michael - February 23, 2013

White turnout might increase significantly when they finish learnin’ that they are now the oppressed minority.

The black turnout for Obama is an unsustainable anomaly.

3. geoff - February 23, 2013

White turnout might increase significantly when they finish learnin’ that they are now the oppressed minority.

But their party affiliation may also change once they gain minority status. Our only hope is that the new generation has a more balanced view of politics.

We need to do a better job of selling the American dream.

I’m reminded of David Linsay’s weirdish A Voyage to Arcturus which, because I have an immature grasp of philosophy, always struck me as kind of profound. From near the end:

These subdivided sparks of living, fiery spirit were hopelessly imprisoned in a ghastly mush of soft pleasure. They were being effeminated and corrupted—that is to say, absorbed in the foul, sickly enveloping forms.

What had been fiery spirit but a moment ago was now a disgusting mass of crawling, wriggling individuals, each whirl of pleasure-seeking will having, as nucleus, a fragmentary spark of living green fire.

Captures the feeling I get when I compare liberal and conservative motivations.

4. Pupster - February 23, 2013

*backs away from Geoff’s bookshelf*

5. sandy burger - February 25, 2013

I think demographics are less important than most people think. I think the main problem is, Democrats know how to appeal to low information voters, and Republicans don’t.

Here’s all most people hear:

Democrats: The GOP is the party of rich white men.
Republicans: blah… blah… supply side economics… blah… blah…

The Democrats consistently employ the fallacy of the broken window to sell their policies, and the Republicans respond with dry economics lectures directed at a bored and ignorant public.

Can you imagine how much mileage the Democrats would have gotten out of black unemployment if it had shot up under Bush like it did under Obama? So, um… what did the Republicans do with that wedge issue? Nothing memorable, that’s for sure.

What about the fact that this administration is more in bed with big business that any administration in my lifetime? Even as there was an explicit “Occupy Wall Street” movement putting that exact issue front and center, an economic collapse, record levels of cronyism, and rampant outright Federal corruption? What did the Republicans do with any of that? Not much. Nothing memorable for people who aren’t policy wonks.

6. sandy burger - February 25, 2013

Another example: the student loan bubble that instapundit.com keeps going on about is easy to understand. It’s easy to explain it to the very people most affected by it.

I feel bad for them. They’ve been had. If it happened in the private sector, it would be called predatory lending, among other things. It’s corrupt and exploitative.

So… did the GOP target those young voters with any favorable information about this problem which they care about so much? No. But the Democrats sure targetted those same voters with “reproductive freedom” nonsense, which the Republicans were horribly inept about countering.

Republicans have given up fighting for the public schools, resulting in a genuinely dumber public, and then they’ve failed to target those dumb people.

7. lauraw - February 26, 2013

Wiser was in here this morning talking about how some brain dead young voter was telling him how Obama is so great because he made it possible for him to stay on his parents insurance until age 26.

No one has impressed it into these kids, the joys of NOT being a dependent. The joy of doing well and spending it on yourself, and owing no one. Independence. Adulthood.

To have your own place, your own money, to not have to kiss anybody’s ass for a meal, to not have to sell your vote for tomorrow’s bread.

Independence happens when we have a thriving, expanding economy full of opportunity and freedom. These kids have never experienced that. It is very sad.

8. skinbad - February 26, 2013

Agreed, but the doom, doooom, DOOOOM of economic reality, news, and predictions leads people to cling to security. Read that Time Magazine article on hospital costs. It will make your blood boil.

9. geoff - February 26, 2013

Wiser was in here this morning talking about how some brain dead young voter was telling him how Obama is so great because he made it possible for him to stay on his parents insurance until age 26.

I propose that you not be allowed to buy alcohol until you can show proof of your own insurance.

10. Tushar - February 26, 2013

>>I propose that you not be allowed to buy alcohol until you can show proof of your own insurance.

ARRRGGGHH!!! He talks sense!

**holds up a wooden cross and a garlic bulb**

11. lauraw - February 26, 2013

*hisses*

12. Chief Justice John Roberts - February 27, 2013

I propose that you not be allowed to buy alcohol until you can show proof of your own insurance.

Sure, sounds constitutional to me.

13. Pupster - February 28, 2013

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