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When Should You Automatically Believe a Rape Victim? December 20, 2014

Posted by Sobek in News.
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It depends who “you” are.

1.  If you’re on a jury, the answer is “never.”  If he or she was a victim, let the prosecution prove it.

2.  If you’re a cop, the answer is “always,” at least as long as you’re taking the initial report.  As you continue with your investigation you can decide how much to believe.

3.  If you’re reading about it in a newspaper or on a blog, the answer is “never.”  The first news report is almost certainly riddled with errors, and that’s assuming the writer isn’t intentionally lying, stretching the facts, or ignoring inconvenient facts to suit a narrative.  That doesn’t mean the victim is lying, it means wait for more information.

4.  If you’re a feminist reporter looking for a story to advance your agenda, the answer is “never.”  But if you’re a feminist reporter, you’re not reading this blog or interested in suggestions that might help you avoid public humiliation.

5.  If you’re a psychic/polygrapher, the answer is “whenever the spirits/polygraph machine confirm what the victim is telling you.”

The Crap Tree 2014 December 12, 2014

Posted by daveintexas in News.
9 comments

A tradition that Michael pimped like a meth and toad venom addled hooker on Harry Hines Blvd in December of 2006 and who am I that I would fail to mess this joint up at Christmas like the jerk that I am.

This was a post from Michael about the Crap Tree. There are others but this is the story. (thanks LauraW for the reminder!)

Crap Tree 2014

Peace on Earth goodwill to doofuses.

Crap Tree 1

Crap Tree 4Crap Tree 5

May your Christmas be merry and bright. And may all your Christmases be white.

God bless

Export Growth Stalled Despite Obama’s Promise December 7, 2014

Posted by geoff in News.
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Friday’s release of import/export data leaves only 2 months away from President Obama breaking his promise. “Which promise” you ask, and well you might, because we’ve been tracking 3 of his promises for some time:

  • To add 1 million manufacturing jobs between Sept ’12 and Sept ’16
  • To put 1 million electric cars on the road by 2015
  • To double exports between Jan ’10 and Jan ’15

I gave up tracking electric cars because the administration already folded on that one – sorry economy, that vital contribution of green jobs to your growth just ain’t happening.

Yesterday I updated the manufacturing jobs chart (but the scheduled post went to the cornfields!), where his promise continues to look like it’s doomed.

And today I present the exports chart, where his promise to save the economy by doubling exports is now only two months away from officially being broken:

ExportsRealityvsObamaDec2014

If you go back to President Obama’s old speeches, you’ll find him telling us that increasing manufacturing jobs, exports, and green energy jobs were key elements of his economy recovery strategy.

Elements which he promptly abandoned as soon as the public eye was turned.

My Two Cents on Eric Garner December 5, 2014

Posted by Sobek in News.
6 comments

That title is inaccurate, and I’ll talk about why, but Garner’s death (and Officer Pantaleone’s not getting indicted) is what prompts this, so here we go.

(more…)

Dec 2014 Jobs Report – Not So Great as Everybody Thinks December 5, 2014

Posted by geoff in News.
2 comments

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the jobs report today, reporting an increase in 321K jobs. Hot Air was impressed:

The ADP jobs report for November may have been a slight miss, but the official BLS report hit a bullseye — finally. The US economy added 321,000 jobs last month, the highest figure in years, as job creation belatedly linked up with two solid quarters of growth.

But me, not so much. Because if you look at my interpretation, this month actually had the first downturn in several months:FullTimeEmpvsCivPopDec2014I think my interpretation is more in line with the latest ADP jobs report, which was a little disappointing.

In any case, the employment situation in a time-averaged sense is improving at an appallingly-slow rate.

China’s GDP Kicks Sand in Our GDP’s Face December 4, 2014

Posted by geoff in News.
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You’ll be pleased to know that as a result of the current administration’s dynamic economic policy, China’s GDP (in dirty commie red in the graph) has surpassed that of the United States.

USvsChinaGDP_PPP_Basis

That’s on a Purchasing Power Parity basis, which accounts for the relative costs of goods and services in each country. Brett Arends of Market Watch, who’s been sounding the klaxon on this, explains the PPP version of GDP this way:

These calculations are based on a well-established and widely used economic measure known as purchasing-power parity (or PPP), which measures the actual output as opposed to fluctuations in exchange rates. So a Starbucks venti Frappucino served in Beijing counts the same as a venti Frappucino served in Minneapolis, regardless of what happens to be going on among foreign-exchange traders.

Yes, when you look at mere international exchange rates, the U.S. economy remains bigger than that of China, allegedly by almost 70%. But such measures, although they are widely followed, are largely meaningless. Does the U.S. economy really shrink if the dollar falls 10% on international currency markets?

I’ll just set back a spell and let the pollyanna pundits chirp away about how the US is not in decline. Meanwhile, as you can see from the graph, we’ll be sliding farther and farther into 2nd place.

Puppy Likes Frozen Song December 2, 2014

Posted by Retired Geezer in Ducks, Man Laws, News.
7 comments

This little Aussie puppy likes a song from “Frozen”.

Laurie Anderson Flashback November 23, 2014

Posted by geoff in News.
5 comments

Nothing like Laurie Anderson’s weirdity to capture my sense of life lately.

A Brief Conversation Between my Wife and my 7-Year-Old Son November 20, 2014

Posted by Sobek in News.
11 comments

Mrs. S: So, do you like school?

Kiddo: No, it’s hard.

Mrs. S: What’s hard about it?

Kiddo: It’s hard when we do Chemistry.

exeunt omnes

We Are a Nation of Immigrants, Aren’t We? November 20, 2014

Posted by geoff in News.
1 comment so far

[This is a reposting of a post I wrote 4 1/2 years ago. Given President Obama’s imminent announcement of the biggest amnesty evah, I thought I’d hang it up here again.]

We Are a Nation of Immigrants, Aren’t We?

The pro-amnesty faction likes to bring up the “Nation of Immigrants” meme to make amnesty foes feel like they’re betraying the intent of the founding fathers. The meme suggests that there is, buried somewhere in the core of the American heritage, a patriotic duty to welcome immigrants to our shores. Using the “Nation of Immigrants” line lets them call amnesty critics “unpatriotic” right after they finish calling them “racist.”

Well, we are undoubtedly a nation of immigrants in a historical sense. But over the past century it hasn’t been nearly as true as the pro-amnesty faction would have you believe. Let’s take a quick look at the history of immigration.

The plot below shows the number of foreign-born people residing in the US (click on the graph for a better view). This includes both legal and illegal residents. As you can see, the total number of foreign-born residents stayed fairly constant from 1910 to 1970, even as the population of the US doubled. The foreign-born percentage of the total population dropped to just under 5% by 1970. Today it stands at roughly 12.5%.

Click on me to make me ginormous!!

Pre-1970 America is what many of us were born to and raised in . . . an America that was successfully assimilating a modest influx of immigrants (probably a little too modest, actually), and which was suffering from a very mild version of today’s balkanization and illegal immigration problems. As the chart shows, that all changed once the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 was passed (thanks, Ted Kennedy!). The Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986 (Reagan’s amnesty) further accelerated the rate of foreign-born population growth.

The Bottom Line. The history of America from 1910 to 1970 was not that of an “immigrant nation” – in fact, one could argue that the US stopped being a “nation of immigrants” after the last immigration surge in 1910. And of course, there is a limit to how much any mature nation can continue to call itself a “nation of immigrants.”

Pro-immigration pundits are calling upon a century-old meme to rationalize the out-of-control immigration situation we have today.

A New Obamaccomplishment: Being Beaten by Germany in a Popularity Contest Among Nations November 19, 2014

Posted by geoff in News.
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The AoSHQ sidebar noted that the US has slipped to being the world’s second-favorite country:

Germany is now the world’s favorite country, according to the Anholt-Gfk Nations Brand Index, which measures the image of 50 leading nations.

The Teutonic powerhouse knocked the United States from its longtime perch at the top of the ratings

Not a big deal, until you read the reasons why:

“In a year of various international confrontations, the United States has lost significant ground where tension has been felt the most acutely,” said Xiaoyan Zhao, senior vice president and director of the index. “Both Russia and Egypt have downgraded the U.S. in an unprecedented manner, particularly in their perception of American commitment to global peace and security, and in their assessment of the competence of the U.S. government.”

Racists.

Well informed racists, but racists nonetheless. Don’t they know that “smart diplomacy” was all the world should have needed to make it love us?

Unless they’re surly racists, that is.

Channeling Jonathan Gruber November 19, 2014

Posted by geoff in News.
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