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No Correlation Between Gun Laws and Gun Crime January 25, 2013

Posted by geoff in News.

Last week I pointed out that Richard Florida’s analysis of gun control laws vs. gun violence was all wet. He was the guy from the Atlantic who made a bogus map of the US purporting to show that the Southern states, with weaker gun laws, had correspondingly higher levels of violence. It was a terrible piece of work, but it was good enough to get Ezra Klein all hot and bothered.

Today the Washington Times does the analysis that Richard Florida should have done, and finds no correlation between strength of gun control laws and gun violence:

The Times analysis looked at the Brady Campaign’s rankings for strength of each state’s gun laws and at Mayors Against Illegal Guns’ rankings for how states perform in disclosing mental health data to the background check system. That information was then matched against the FBI’s 2011 gun-crime rankings for homicides, robberies and assaults.

The results showed no correlation among the strength of laws and disclosure and the crime rates.

About what we figured.


1. daveintexas - January 25, 2013

It’s anecdotal, and therefore not data, but CT has some pretty danged tough gun laws.

Make of this what you will.

2. Pupster - January 26, 2013

Needs moar giraffe. http://i.imgur.com/eldksT3.gif

I expected to see less crime in areas with less gun laws.

3. Jeffersonian - January 26, 2013

I did a regression of state-level statistics on murder and firearm ownership rates. The upshot is that, if you leave out Washington, DC, there is a very, very small (but statistically insignificant) positive correlation (m=0.01) between the two. If you include DC, the correlation becomes negative (m=-0.03, but still not significant), meaning more guns = less crime.

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