Bye-Bye, Taiwan October 9, 2013Posted by geoff in News.
The Taiwanese forecast their own doom.
China will be able to fend off U.S. forces and successfully invade Taiwan by 2020, the island’s Defense Ministry said on Wednesday, the first time Taipei has given such a precise timetable for the threat it says it faces.
Sadly for Taiwan, the fight-or-flee decision point is likely to be much sooner for the US, which no longer feels that Taiwan is worth defending if great cost to the US is required.
I can’t remember the prediction I made several years ago, but I think I said it would be 2015 or 2017 when the US would not longer pose a practical deterrent to China. Not too far off, if the Taiwanese think it’s 2020 for no deterrent at all.