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COVID-19 Update: Through 6/26/2020 June 27, 2020

Posted by geoff in COVID-19, News.
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The descent has resumed, albeit slowly:

USDeaths-7DayRunningAverageThru6-26
A couple of days ago New Jersey added nearly 2000 “probable” COVID-19 deaths, which were spread among the past 3 months. So I had to go back and revise all the numbers in the graph.

Thanks, New Jersey.

But New Jersey has now vaulted into the lead as the state with the most COVID-19 deaths per million residents.

COVID-19 Update: Through 6/24/2020 June 25, 2020

Posted by geoff in COVID-19, News.
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7-day averaged casualties have stalled out at 620/day over the past 3 days. If it persists a few days more, it’ll be time to look at protest/casualty correlations.

USDeaths-7DayRunningAverageThru6-24

South Dakota Sails Through the COVID-19 Crisis June 22, 2020

Posted by geoff in COVID-19, News.
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I’m sure you all remember the media pillorying of South Dakota’s governor, Kristi Noem, when she decided not to lock down South Dakota when COVID-19 hit:

  • US News & World Report: Noem Urges South Dakotans to ‘Hang in There’ During Pandemic (3/22/2020)
  • Forbes: South Dakota Refused To Shut Down, Now Faces One Of The Largest Coronavirus Outbreaks In The Country (4/14/2020)
  • Washington Post: South Dakota’s governor resisted ordering people to stay home. Now it has one of the nation’s largest coronavirus hot spots. (4/14/2020)
  • Politico: Hot spots erupt in farm belt states where governors insist lockdowns aren’t needed (4/15/2020)
  • Daily Beast: Hannity Lauds South Dakota, Home of Worst U.S. Virus Cluster, for Never Having to Shut Down (4/16/2020)
  • Washington Post: There’s no coronavirus lockdown in South Dakota – We never closed down. Doctors like me wish we would. (4/27/2020)

She had to go on the news to defend her decision, much to the mockery of her critics. So how did it all play out (data from here)?

SDDeaths-7DayRunningAverageThru6-21

Pretty much like you’d think. The naysayers got themselves in a lather over nothing. South Dakota has had a trivial number of deaths due to COVID-19; on average no more than 2 a day.

This Kristi Noem, though – she needs to play on a larger stage. She didn’t hesitate to call out the National Guard to suppress violence in Sioux Falls (June 1, 2020), and the violence disappeared immediately.

COVID-19 Update: Through 6-21-20 June 22, 2020

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Nice to start the week off like this:

USDeaths-7DayRunningAverageThru6-21

Industry Death by Mask June 19, 2020

Posted by geoff in COVID-19, News.
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The future of the movie theater seems bleak:

AMC Theatres — the nation’s largest multiplex operator — is amending its plans for reopening next month, now requiring customers at all its theaters to wear masks. The change came after an outcry against the company for not making it a mandate in the first place.

Hmmmmm….

Wear a mask for the entirety of a movie, struggling to consume concessions, watching people get aggravated at patrons who take them off once they’re seated, or just buy a bigger TV?

And the consequence for the theaters?

AMC Theatres, like many theater owners, has been hard hit by coronavirus closures. The company closed more than 1,000 of its theaters in March and reportedly furloughed 600 corporate employees soon afterward.

In public filings this month, the company acknowledged troubled times may still be in store.

With the mask requirement, “troubled times” are guaranteed. I think it’s time to buy stock in Sony, Samsung, and LG.

COVID-19 Update: Data Through 6-17 June 18, 2020

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Despite dire pronouncements from the media (see, for example, “Coronavirus cases are spiking across the country and experts say Florida has the makings of the next epicenter“), US casualty data continues to delight:

USDeaths-7DayRunningAverageThru6-17

Let’s take a quick look at Florida. I stole this graphic from their site:

FloridaCOVID19DataforLast30Days

Despite the rise in cases, the number of deaths has dropped to a negligible amount. So Florida may be the next “epicenter” for COVID-19, but so far it doesn’t seem to be threatening lives.

COVID-19 Update: Casualties Through 6-14-2020 June 15, 2020

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Many states have been open for a month or two, but the death rate continues to decline:

USDeaths-7DayRunningAverageThru6-14

COVID-19 Update Through 6-10-2020 June 11, 2020

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. . . and the delightful downward trend in US COVID-19 deaths continues:

USDeaths-7DayRunningAverageThru6-10

Sweden’s COVID-19 Response June 8, 2020

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A lot of COVID-19 flak has been thrown Sweden’s way lately, blaming them for not shutting down like other countries. So I thought I’d make a chart for the world similar to the one I did for the US: the chart that compares deaths to size of senior populations.

So I took the top 25 countries in terms of COVID-19 deaths, and plotted the deaths/million versus the percentage of the population that was over 65. Here’s the result:

There are obviously other factors at play, but it does seem like there’s a definite trend in the deaths as the density of the elderly population increases.

But looking at Sweden, you can’t really say that it’s doing much worse than countries like Spain, Italy, France, and the UK. It is doing worse than Finland and Norway, however.

In the end, though, they kept their economy open without doing significantly worse than countries that closed up, so I’d say Advantage Sweden.

COVID-19 Update Through 6-6-2020 June 7, 2020

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. . . the good trend resumes . . .

COVID-19 Update Through 6-2-2020 June 3, 2020

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Let’s take look at what a week has brought us in terms of COVID-19 casualties:

Here’s hoping that little uptick is just a pause.

Thought I’d also revise a previous chart. The old chart showed the deaths per million for each state. The revised chart shows deaths per thousand senior citizens (65+) for each state (through 6/1/2020). So it’s a chart showing how well the largest victim group was protected by each state:

You can see how poorly the Northeast, and the areas near New York City in particular, have done. Florida has done 16X better than New York, and Texas has done 19X better.

But I’m sure that’s all Trump’s fault.

Coronavirus Update: 5-26-2020 May 27, 2020

Posted by geoff in COVID-19, News.
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Didn’t intend to publish this chart this often, and the data may be influenced by Memorial Day, but the trend is just so dang pretty I couldn’t help myself. Enjoy:

We’re a month past the beginning of the loosening of the lockdown in many states, with no sign of any negative effect in the daily death data.

And today, Colorado’s “Safer-at-Home” policy expires.